{"id":5915,"date":"2022-09-22T06:18:09","date_gmt":"2022-09-22T11:18:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/?p=5915"},"modified":"2022-09-22T06:18:10","modified_gmt":"2022-09-22T11:18:10","slug":"bai-hoc-jimmy-carter-va-vien-anh-xung-dot-a-chau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/?p=5915","title":{"rendered":"B\u00c0I H\u1eccC JIMMY CARTER V\u00c0 VI\u1ec4N \u1ea2NH XUNG \u0110\u1ed8T \u00c1 CH\u00c2U"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi TT\nJimmy Carter v\u00e0 Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng TC \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh g\u1eb7p nhau bu\u1ed5i s\u00e1ng ng\u00e0y 30\nth\u00e1ng 1, 1979, TT Carter y\u00eau c\u1ea7u th\u00f4ng d\u1ecbch vi\u00ean \u0111\u1ecdc tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp b\u1eb1ng mi\u1ec7ng l\u00e1\nth\u01b0 c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng g\u1edfi v\u1edbi Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u1ea3n vi\u1ebft tay c\u1ee7a\nTT Carter v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0u gi\u1eef t\u1ea1i Th\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7n Jimmy Carter.&nbsp; Theo n\u1ed9i dung l\u00e1 th\u01b0, TT Carter ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c\nTC x\u00e2m l\u0103ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u l\u00fd do, trong \u0111\u00f3 g\u1ed3m\n(1) N\u1ebfu m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eb1m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t\nNam hi\u1ec7n nay \u1edf Kampuchea th\u00ec m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng. (2) M\u1ed9t h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng\nmang t\u00ednh c\u00e1ch bi\u1ec3u hi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t &#8220;tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t&#8221;\n\u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. (3) H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng x\u00e2m l\u0103ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a CSVN v\u00e0 TC ho\u00e1n chuy\u1ec3n. CSVN\nhi\u1ec7n \u0111ang b\u1ecb th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi k\u1ebft \u00e1n x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd kh\u00e1c h\u01a1n d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1eaft d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn n\u1ebfu TC\nx\u00e2m l\u0103ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam. (4) Ngo\u00e0i ra, xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1eeb hai qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh\nxung \u0111\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c. K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn, TT Carter \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb \u201cm\u1ed9t n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p th\u00f4ng qua\nLi\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n cho\nVi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh l\u1eafng\nnghe kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eaft l\u1eddi ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u00f4ng d\u1ecbch. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sau khi nghe\nxong, \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi r\u1eb1ng TC v\u1eabn s\u1ebd \u201ctr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Vi\u1ec7t Nam gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n\u201d \u0111\u1ec3\nng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n LX trong vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng Cuba, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 r\u1ed3i Afghanistan nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng ch\u01b0\nh\u1ea7u. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1edbt v\u00e1t, \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh y\u00eau c\u1ea7u M\u1ef9 vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 cho c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ed1ng\nCSVN qua trung gian Th\u00e1i Lan.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TT Carter h\u1ecfi l\u1ea1i\nli\u1ec7u Th\u00e1i Lan c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd kh\u00f4ng, \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi Th\u00e1i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh th\u1ea5t\nb\u1ea1i trong m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c M\u1ef9 c\u00f4ng khai \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 nh\u01b0ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch\nnh\u1ecf kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c M\u1ef9 h\u1ee9a cung c\u1ea5p tin t\u1ee9c t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 trong vi\u1ec7c\ngi\u00fap phe ch\u1ed1ng CSVN t\u1ea1i Cambodia. C\u00e1o gi\u00e0 CS \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng \u0111i M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh\nb\u1ea1c theo ki\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0103n c\u1ea3 ng\u00e3 v\u1ec1 kh\u00f4ng m\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o c\u0169ng t\u1ed1t. (Foreign\nRelations of the United States, 1977\u20131980, Volume XIII, China)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng\nh\u1ed9 \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh, TT Jimmy Carter \u0111\u00e3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1eb7ng t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam\n\u00c1. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted\">C\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 cho c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n kh\u00f4ng CS trong Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Campuchia D\u00e2n Ch\u1ee7 c\u0169ng l\u1ecdt kh\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u qua ph\u00eda Khmer \u0110\u1ecf. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e0m ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0 C\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n An ninh Qu\u1ed1c Gia&nbsp; Zbigniew Brzezinski c\u00f3 ch\u1ed1i c\u00e3i hay bi\u1ec7n h\u1ed9, m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean l\u00e0 n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Campuchia D\u00e2n Ch\u1ee7 trong \u0111\u00f3 Khmer \u0110\u1ecf \u0111\u00f3ng vai ch\u00ednh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef chi\u1ebfc gh\u1ebf t\u1ea1i Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c cho t\u1edbi 1993. &nbsp;<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted\">&nbsp;<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted\">Nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi t\u1ed1 c\u00e1o M\u1ef9 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Pol Pot c\u1ee7a Norodom Sihanouk c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u0103n c\u1ee9. Ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Ch\u00ednh Ph\u1ee7 Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Campuchia D\u00e2n Ch\u1ee7 ra \u0111\u1eddi 1982, thay v\u00ec v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ecf tr\u1ed1ng gh\u1ebf h\u1ed9i vi\u00ean LHQ c\u1ee7a Cambodia cho t\u1edbi khi c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 h\u1ee3p lu\u1eadt qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu duy tr\u00ec chi\u1ebfc gh\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Pol Pot t\u1ea1i LHQ: \u201cHoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \"Kampuchea d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7\" c\u1ee7a Pol Pot v\u00e0o Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m nay b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 \u0111\u00e1ng gh\u00ea t\u1edfm v\u1ec1 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n, Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng Edmund S. Muskie tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 h\u00f4m qua.\u201d (Washing Post, September 16, 1980)<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u1ecd \u0110\u1eb7ng d\u00f9ng xung\n\u0111\u1ed9t Cambodia nh\u01b0 b\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea1p cho c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ea1i \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u. Vai\ntr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a TC c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u1ee5c di\u1ec7n \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn nay. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chi\u1ebfc b\u1eaby n\u1ee3 t\u1ea1i\nL\u00e0o v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a TC t\u1ea1i Cambodia l\u00e0 hai b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng. L\u00e0o thi\u1ebfu n\u1ee3\nn\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i 14.5 t\u1ef7 dollar v\u00e0 h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda trong s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 n\u1ee3 TC. TC gia t\u0103ng s\u1ef1\nhi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i Cambodia b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9ng v\u00e0o c\u00e1c\nm\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. Xin nh\u1edb TC kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u0103n c\u1ee9 h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n n\u00e0o l\u1edbn \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i ngo\u1ea1i\ntr\u1eeb t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o Ho\u00e0ng Sa v\u00e0 Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Sa chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u0103n c\u1ee9 duy\nnh\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a Djibouti t\u1eadn \u0110\u00f4ng Phi Ch\u00e2u. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c TC hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n\nt\u1ea1i Cambodia l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u0111e d\u1ecda tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn\nan ninh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c\nch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 th\u1ee7 \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a \u0110\u1eb7ng\nTi\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh bi\u1ebft TC ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o M\u1ef9. Sau b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, m\u1ed9t k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean h\u1ee3p\nt\u00e1c M\u1ef9-TC \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t kh\u1edfi v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf v\u01b0\u1ee3t b\u1ef1c m\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi coi l\u00e0\n\u201cTrung Qu\u1ed1c K\u1ef3 Di\u1ec7u\u201d ( China Miracle) v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gia t\u0103ng trung b\u00ecnh 9.5% t\u1eeb 1978\n\u0111\u1ebfn 2003.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TC \u0111i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3\nhi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a v\u00e0 khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a TC xoay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ch\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9. M\u1ef9 nu\u00f4i l\u1edbn k\u1ebb\nth\u00f9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Sergey\nRadchenko, nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u1ea1i Woodrow Wilson Center\nfor International Scholars nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t r\u1eb1ng Carter v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hy v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t\nng\u00e0y n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u1edfi m\u1edf h\u01a1n. Nh\u01b0ng m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m sau khi \u0111\u01b0a xe t\u0103ng sang x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Vi\u1ec7t Nam, \u0110\u1eb7ng\nTi\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0a xe t\u0103ng v\u00e0o Qu\u1ea3ng\ntr\u01b0\u1eddng Thi\u00ean An M\u00f4n \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea5n \u00e1p c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng\nd\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n nay kh\u00f4ng kh\u00e1c g\u00ec&nbsp; \u0110\u1eb7ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 ch\u00e1n gh\u00e9t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m t\u1ef1 do v\u00e0 b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng, \u1edf\nTrung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 ngay c\u1ea3 ngo\u00e0i\nTrung Qu\u1ed1c. (\u2018Sergey Radchenko, We\u2019re Very Sexy People\u2019: How the U.S.\nMiscalculated Its Allure to China, 2019)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia\nM\u1ef9 th\u1eddi \u0111\u00f3 hi\u1ec3u m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 \u00fd th\u1ee9c h\u1ec7 CS khi cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu l\u00f4i k\u00e9o gi\u1edbi\nl\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ea3ng CS v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0 b\u1ea3n, ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 do r\u1ed3i d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n\nc\u00e1c l\u00e3nh v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u0169ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i theo. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c l\u1ea1i cho r\u1eb1ng\nvi\u1ec7c thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u00fd th\u1ee9c h\u1ec7 l\u00e0 con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00e0i trong khi h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 m\u1eadu d\u1ecbch\n\u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft. C\u1ea3 hai suy ngh\u0129 \u0111\u1ec1u g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn tai\nh\u1ecda TC ng\u00e0y nay. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1eadt ra l\u00fd lu\u1eadn\nxung \u0111\u1ed9t quy\u1ec1n l\u1ee3i v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t v\u00e0 tinh th\u1ea7n gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn\nc\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p C\u00e1ch M\u1ea1ng Ph\u00e1p 1789, kh\u00f4ng sai. Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3\nc\u00e1c m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn ch\u00edn mu\u1ed3i kh\u00e1c r\u1ea5t xa trong m\u1ed7i th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 v\u0103n minh c\u1ee7a lo\u00e0i ng\u01b0\u1eddi.\nTh\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y nay v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u00f3a v\u00e0 c\u00e1c quan h\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c\nv\u00e0o nhau s\u00e2u s\u1eafc, c\u00e1c m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00e1ng c\u1ea7n th\u1eddi gian r\u1ea5t l\u00e2u \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec7t ti\u00eau\nnhau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh\nkh\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e1ng k\u00ednh \u0111\u1eb7t n\u1eb7ng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb t\u1ef1 do d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i\nNobel H\u00f2a B\u00ecnh v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, khi l\u00e0m t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng, Jimmy Carter l\u1ea1i r\u1ea5t\n\u00edt khi \u0111\u01b0a y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n ra \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1eb7c c\u1ea3 v\u1edbi gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o TC trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e0m\nph\u00e1n kinh t\u1ebf. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Ryan Hass\nthu\u1ed9c Brookings Institution k\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n M\u1ef9 n\u1ebfu nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn &nbsp;\u201cd\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n\u201d ch\u1eb3ng qua l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 thuy\u1ebft\nph\u1ee5c ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n M\u1ef9 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch m\u1eadu d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u1edbi TC, trong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf nh\u1eefng\nv\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n quy\u1ec1n \u201cch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch\u201d c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. (Ryan Hass, Every\nPresident Since Reagan Was Wrong About China\u2019s Destiny, Bloomberg Opinion, July\n23, 2019)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vi\u1ec5n \u1ea3nh n\u00e0o cho\nt\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ef9 h\u1ecdc m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc\nd\u00e0i tr\u00ean 40 n\u0103m, nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m g\u00ec, li\u1ec7u c\u00f3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u00ec kh\u00f4ng? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi l\u00e0 c\u00f3.\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ch\u01b0a t\u1eadn\ndi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u tranh gi\u1eefa thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 \u00e1c s\u1ebd c\u00f2n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c. Julius Caesar kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i\nl\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0 T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng h\u1eb3n l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng. Nh\u1eefng\nb\u00e0i h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ch\u1ecdn l\u1ef1a m\u1edbi s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ecdn. M\u1ed7i giai \u0111o\u1ea1n trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed\nnh\u00e2n lo\u1ea1i lu\u00f4n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i v\u00e0 lu\u00f4n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng con ng\u01b0\u1eddi\nm\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i m\u00ecnh. N\u01b0\u1edbc Anh c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t Neville Chamberlain ch\u1ee7 h\u00f2a\nnh\u01b0ng ngay sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t Winston Churchill c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn\nb\u01b0\u1edbc ra thay th\u1ebf. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u1ee5c xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u00c1\nCh\u00e2u. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u00f9 s\u1edbm hay mu\u1ed9n Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n t\u00e1i v\u00f5 trang \u0111\u1ec3\nb\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ee3i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd t\u1ea1i \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a 2022\nch\u1ec9 42 t\u1ef7 dollar hay 1.1 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m GDP, qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nh\u1eadt v\u1eabn c\u00f2n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i n\u1eb7ng\nv\u1ec1 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7.&nbsp; T\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i thay \u0111\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u0103m 2021 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 gia t\u0103ng&nbsp; ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng l\u00ean t\u1edbi 76 t\u1ef7 dollar \u0111\u1ee9ng\nh\u00e0ng th\u1ee9 ba th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi sau M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 TC nh\u01b0ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 t\u1eeb th\u1eddi\nth\u00e0nh l\u1eadp n\u1ec1n C\u1ed9ng H\u00f2a 1947 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn v\u00e0 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t khi \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng c\u00e1c th\u00e1ch\nth\u1ee9c m\u1edbi t\u1eeb Trung C\u1ed9ng. L\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i thay \u0111\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 \u0110\u00e0i Loan s\u1ebd l\u00e0 hai \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng trong\nChi\u1ebfn Tranh L\u1ea1nh \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u. C\u00e1c chuy\u1ebfn vi\u1ebfng th\u0103m \u0110\u00e0i Loan d\u1ed3n d\u1eadp c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c\nl\u1eadp ph\u00e1p v\u00e0 h\u00e0nh ph\u00e1p M\u1ef9 v\u1eeba qua cho th\u1ea5y qu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh\nm\u1ed9t Do Th\u00e1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00f4ng. V\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CSVN v\u00ec tham v\u1ecdng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3ng CS n\u00ean cho t\u1edbi\nnay v\u1eabn c\u00f2n co ro trong chi\u1ebfc \u00e1o r\u00e1ch l\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1n l\u1ed5 to m\u00e0 h\u1ecd g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cqu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng b\u1ed1n\nkh\u00f4ng\u201d. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d4ng Nguy\u1ec5n Ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdng nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t v\u1ec1 th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y: &#8220;Nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9c\nl\u1eadp ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n, th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t to\u00e0n v\u1eb9n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ph\u1ea3i gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.\nCh\u01b0a c\u00f3 th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang c\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng kh\u00ed \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ed1t nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0y. Ph\u1ea3i gi\u1eef\nl\u1ea5y n\u00f3\u201d (\u0110\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i Nguy\u1ec5n Ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdng n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n v\u1edbi c\u1eed tri 3 qu\u1eadn Ba\n\u0110\u00ecnh, Ho\u00e0n Ki\u1ebfm, T\u00e2y H\u1ed3 s\u00e1ng 15\/10\/2019)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d4ng Tr\u1ecdng th\u1eed\nd\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e2y b\u00fat m\u00e0u \u0111en v\u00e0 t\u00f4 \u0111\u1eadm c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t, c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c bi\u1ec3n&nbsp; v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u1eb1m trong \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a TC t\u1ea1i\n\u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, \u00f4ng s\u1ebd th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang n\u1eb1m trong r\u1ecd, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u1eeda ng\u00f5\nn\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 tho\u00e1t th\u00e2n d\u00f9 tr\u00ean b\u1ed9 hay tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n. N\u1eb1m co ro trong r\u1ecd l\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh sao? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ecdc l\u1eddi ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n Ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdng ng\u01b0\u1eddi vi\u1ebft ch\u1ee3t ngh\u0129 \u0111\u1ebfn \u201cH\u1ed9i\nch\u1ee9ng \u1ebech Lu\u1ed9c\u201d (Boiling frog) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9ng trong nhi\u1ec1u\ntrong t\u00e2m l\u00fd h\u1ecdc. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u1ed9i ch\u1ee9ng \u1ebech Lu\u1ed9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 r\u1ea5t c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u00e0\nd\u1ec5 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng minh s\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft\nm\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng lo cho hi\u1ec3m h\u1ecda l\u00e2u d\u00e0i. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u1ed9i\nch\u1ee9ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch nh\u01b0 sau: N\u1ebfu \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ed9t ch\u00fa \u1ebfch v\u00e0o n\u1ed3i n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00f3ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng\nnhi\u00ean ch\u00fa s\u1ebd nh\u1ea3y ra ngay, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1eb7t ch\u00fa v\u00e0o n\u1ed3i n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ea5m v\u00e0 \u0111un s\u00f4i t\u1eeb t\u1eeb\ntrong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, \u1ebfch ta s\u1ebd r\u1ea5t l\u1ea5y l\u00e0m khoan kho\u00e1i. Khi\nn\u00f3ng t\u0103ng cao ch\u00fat x\u00edu c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng sao v\u00ec &nbsp;\u1ebfch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u01a1 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00edch nghi\nv\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00f3ng. Nh\u01b0ng khi n\u00f3ng t\u0103ng cao n\u1eefa th\u00ec than \u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 qu\u00e1 tr\u1ec5 r\u1ed3i, \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00f3ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t\ngi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng l\u00e0m ch\u00fa \u1ebfch ng\u1ea5t x\u1ec9u v\u00e0 h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 b\u1ecb lu\u1ed9c ch\u1ebft. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi bao gi\u1edd hay khi n\u00e0o s\u1ed1 ph\u1eadn c\u1ee7a\n4.7 t\u1ef7 ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp hay gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp\nt\u1eeb xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u00f5 trang do TC g\u00e2y ra. Nh\u01b0ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc t\u1eeb hai cu\u1ed9c th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn cho th\u1ea5y, n\u1ebfu\nc\u00f3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb, m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tho\u00e1t ra hay \u00edt b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia\nkh\u00e1c. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec tham v\u1ecdng quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c, v\u00ec n\u1ed3i c\u01a1m\nch\u00e9n g\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 gia \u0111\u00ecnh, v\u00ec quy\u1ec1n l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ea3ng ph\u00e1i m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c\n&nbsp;thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch, \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd r\u01a1i v\u00e0o v\u1ef1c\nth\u1eb3m. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n tr\u1edf n\u00ean th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian\nng\u1eafn kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 nh\u1edd v\u00e0o tinh th\u1ea7n \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c, v\u0103n h\u00f3a l\u00e2u d\u00e0i hay l\u00f2ng y\u00eau\nn\u01b0\u1edbc s\u00e2u \u0111\u1eadm. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft t\u1eeb l\u00e2u v\u00e0 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n v\u0103n h\u00f3a d\u00e0i m\u1ea5y ng\u00e0n n\u0103m\ntr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f4ng nguy\u00ean ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y. Nh\u01b0ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc Th\u1ebf Chi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Hai, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n\nl\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ef1c d\u00e2n, qu\u00e2n phi\u1ec7t, ch\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1p l\u00ean quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c,\nkh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00e2n lo\u1ea1i k\u00ednh tr\u1ecdng. Ch\u00ednh c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 qua hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p 1947 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap\nn\u01b0\u1edbc Nh\u1eadt v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111i\u00eau t\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed5 n\u00e1t c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh, tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 th\u1ef1c d\u00e2n,\nqu\u00e2n phi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 c\u1ea5t c\u00e1nh bay cao \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi k\u00ednh tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 ng\u00e0y nay. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 D\u00e2n Ch\u1ee7 (Democracy Index)2021do c\u00f4ng\nty uy t\u00edn qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n x\u1ebfp \u0110\u00e0i Loan h\u1ea1ng\nth\u1ee9 8 (Full democracy), Nam H\u00e0n h\u1ea1ng 16 (Full democracy), Nh\u1eadt h\u1ea1ng 17 (Full\ndemocracy), nh\u01b0ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u1ecb x\u1ebfp v\u00e0o h\u1ea1ng 131 c\u00f9ng nh\u00f3m v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia\nchuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 l\u1ea1c h\u1eadu nh\u01b0 B\u1eafc H\u00e0n, Afghanistan, Congo, Cuba v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhi\u00ean trong\n\u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e0n anh Trung C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp th\u1ee9 148 g\u1ea7n ch\u00f3t b\u1ea3ng. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c\nnh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1eddi s\u1ef1 th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00f9ng Th\u1ebf Chi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Hai \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c xung \u0111\u1ed9t\nth\u1ebf gi\u1edbi nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00fang ra n\u00ean d\u00f9ng Th\u1ebf Chi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Nh\u1ea5t. Th\u1ebf Chi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Hai ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 h\u1eadu\nqu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n b\u1eaft ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb Th\u1ebf Chi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Nh\u1ea5t ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft\nr\u1ed1t r\u00e1o. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ebf\nChi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00e2m n\u00f3ng t\u1eeb l\u00e2u\ntr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 \u00e1m s\u00e1t Qu\u1eadn C\u00f4ng Franz\nFerdinand ng\u00e0y 28 th\u00e1ng 6, 1914. M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do s\u00e2u xa d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn Th\u1ebf\nChi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Nh\u1ea5t (1914) l\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y b\u1ecb bao v\u00e2y khi \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n v\u1edbi li\u00ean minh th\u00f9\n\u0111\u1ecbch Anh, Ph\u00e1p, Nga&nbsp; (Triple Entente). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TC ng\u00e0y nay c\u0169ng\nth\u1ebf. M\u1ed1i lo l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o TC tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0\nsau n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i lo b\u1ecb bao v\u00e2y. H\u1ecd T\u1eadp \u0111ang t\u00ecm m\u1ecdi c\u00e1ch x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh\nqu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1ef1c. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ch\u1ed1ng\nx\u00e2m l\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u (case study), \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi\nl\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u00f3 tham v\u1ecdng b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng nh\u01b0 T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh ph\u1ea3i\nhi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 m\u1ea1nh hi\u1ebfp y\u1ebfu m\u00e0 s\u1ebd\n\u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh ph\u1ea3i\nhi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m v\u1ec1 quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft, ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n, to\u00e0n v\u1eb9n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5, \u00fd ch\u00ed\nto\u00e0n d\u00e2n, c\u00f4ng ph\u00e1p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v.v.. kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi nh\u1eadp \u0111\u1ec1 hoa m\u1ef9 nh\u01b0ng r\u1ed7ng\ntu\u1ebfch trong c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng c\u00e1o chung hay quy\u1ebft ngh\u1ecb m\u00e0 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111em ra \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng t\u1eebng\n\u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n m\u1ed9t. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh ph\u1ea3i\nhi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng d\u00f9 m\u1ea1nh bao nhi\u00eau, l\u1edbn bao nhi\u00eau, m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi\nc\u1ea3 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh ph\u1ea3i\nhi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u00f5 trang x\u1ea3y ra, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 d\u00f9 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i\nnhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u1eabn c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, trong khi \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 CS t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ed1n x\u00e2y\nd\u1ef1ng tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u mong manh d\u1ec5 v\u1ee1 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u00ednh v\u00ec v\u1eady, bu\u1ed5i g\u1eb7p g\u1ee1 c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp v\u00e0 Putin h\u00f4m 15 th\u00e1ng 9\nv\u1eeba qua t\u1ea1i Uzbekistan\nkh\u00f4ng \u0111em l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3\n\u0111em l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o. T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u00edch th\u00e2n gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch cho\nPutin hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ngo\u1ea1i giao d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a TC \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0\nCh\u00e2u \u00c2u. Do \u0111\u00f3, kh\u00f4ng ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean khi Putin tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1: \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 cao l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c\nkhi n\u00f3i \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Ukraine. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i hi\u1ec3u nh\u1eefng th\u1eafc m\u1eafc v\u00e0 lo l\u1eafng\nc\u1ee7a\nTrung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y.\u201d (Reuters, September 15, 2022)\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u01b0ng vi\u1ec7c g\u1eb7p g\u1ee1\nc\u0169ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a Trung C\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n b\u1ecf r\u01a1i Nga. C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c gi\u1eefa TC, Nga v\u00e0\nkh\u1ed1i H\u1ed3i Gi\u00e1o ch\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ngay c\u1ea3 trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p\nPutin ra \u0111i nh\u01b0ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c Nga ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00f3a b\u1ecf trong nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a t\u1ea7ng\nl\u1edbp l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Nga sau Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi li\u00ean\nminh \u0110\u1ee9c, \u0110\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c \u00c1o Hung v\u00e0 \u00dd (Triple Alliance)\n&nbsp;trong Th\u1ebf Chi\u1ebfn Th\u1ee9 Nh\u1ea5t, TC kh\u00f3\nc\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 \u1edf \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb\nli\u00ean minh v\u1edbi n\u01b0\u1edbc CS \u0111\u00e0n em l\u00e0 CSVN. Nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n v\u00e0 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt chi\u1ebfn\ntranh ngh\u00e8o n\u00e0n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, CSVN kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 g\u00ec quan tr\u1ecdng ngo\u00e0i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t\nb\u00e3i chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y m\u1ecdi thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n th\u1eddi gian\nv\u00e0 v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n nay s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra r\u1ea5t\nch\u1eadm. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u may m\u1eafn hi\u1ebfm hoi cho d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Vi\u1ec7t Nam\nv\u1eabn c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed5i\nthay c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1eebng \u0111\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ebfn khi ch\u1ea3o d\u1ea7u \u00c1 Ch\u00e2u ph\u00e1t h\u1ecfa m\u1edbi\nnh\u00fang tay v\u00e0o m\u00e0 ngay trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 \u00fd th\u1ee9c, bi\u1ebft\nquan t\u00e2m v\u1ec1 ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed3 d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c d\u00f9 \u0111ang \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m m\u1ecdi c\u00e1ch trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n\nc\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n thay \u0111\u1ed5i h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u1ea7n Trung \u0110\u1ea1o<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi TT Jimmy Carter v\u00e0 Ph\u00f3 Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng TC \u0110\u1eb7ng Ti\u1ec3u B\u00ecnh g\u1eb7p nhau bu\u1ed5i s\u00e1ng ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5916,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tieu-luan-chinh-tri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5915"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5917,"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5915\/revisions\/5917"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5916"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.trantrungdao.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}